Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1.681193 1.930921 2.205395 2.529526 2.901977 3.316728 3.813896
2025-06-22 1.338057 1.666636 2.058035 2.558965 3.183710 3.938116 4.919812
2025-06-29 1.074574 1.435028 1.895144 2.526300 3.371138 4.465327 5.994213
2025-07-06 0.854401 1.213106 1.699720 2.409322 3.420377 4.813506 6.886876
2025-07-13 0.755589 1.133618 1.675324 2.510066 3.768432 5.602194 8.491931
2025-07-20 0.680863 1.073823 1.665585 2.624300 4.145584 6.478370 10.351205
2025-07-27 0.614224 1.013965 1.643889 2.712342 4.489336 7.344667 12.317699
2025-08-03 0.548704 0.944681 1.595310 2.746585 4.746241 8.101224 14.209501
2025-08-10 0.475190 0.850501 1.491459 2.670921 4.803549 8.527853 15.593603
2025-08-17 0.404722 0.751012 1.364053 2.534068 4.730407 8.712047 16.562400
2025-08-24 0.360556 0.692405 1.300294 2.501468 4.838212 9.227980 18.206740
2025-08-31 0.321158 0.637094 1.234847 2.455507 4.911895 9.685051 19.794650
2025-09-07 0.305742 0.627560 1.257494 2.589205 5.366317 10.958408 23.246820
2025-09-14 0.280783 0.595544 1.232136 2.623559 5.626582 11.884895 26.135031
2025-09-21 0.252466 0.552591 1.178914 2.592446 5.745557 12.537333 28.540698
2025-09-28 0.220163 0.496549 1.090830 2.473673 5.657103 12.734077 29.964598
2025-10-05 0.209808 0.487490 1.102553 2.577923 6.082579 14.122420 34.346877
2025-10-12 0.201182 0.481114 1.119251 2.695754 6.556359 15.687156 39.396440
2025-10-19 0.191270 0.470299 1.124264 2.786501 6.978488 17.189802 44.531518
2025-10-26 0.178726 0.451349 1.107571 2.821855 7.269232 18.414940 49.155684
2025-11-02 0.160977 0.417003 1.049134 2.744181 7.262073 18.895935 51.904337
2025-11-09 0.141923 0.376701 0.970631 2.603578 7.070058 18.874594 53.289350
2025-11-16 0.130269 0.354203 0.934517 2.570099 7.160180 19.608749 56.894101